My bad, I didn’t realize I was using BlueSky.social

@FoxKHTML what does this even mean

@Marnix Are you honestly asking?

@Shai yeah i don't know what he's even going for here

@Marnix It reads more as a jab at Trump than a serious prediction/question.

@Shai Creator should resolve it N/A. Stupid ass question

@FoxKHTML seethe

@Symmetry Trump is your president

@FoxKHTML hey, relax, stop acting like you're in the predictit comments section

@Marnix @Quillist for a recipient of clemency not to count as part of a group do they simply need to be named on separate clemency warrants or do they need to be pardoned for separate offenses/reasons?

@AaronSimansky im gonna go with separate clemency warrants is fine. but a commutation is not. gotta be a pardon

@Quillist if an action happens prior to Trump taking office that makes it impossible for a marker to resolve yes, will that market resolve no or N/A?

@traders A market with a longer scope can be found here:

@Quillist should be "children of illegal immigrants", since illegal immigrants have already been born and therefore cannot get birthright citizenship.

@VNetChrome lie, definitely. but grift? he might be a bit busy rewarding his friends. how would you want this resolved?

@Marnix Day 1, inauguration. There’s already an established history, lawsuits, AND Settlement (ie admission of guilt). As given as the “Lie” part

https://www.npr.org/2022/05/03/1096123493/trump-inauguration-dc-hotel-lawsuit-settlement

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2021/11/trump-inauguration-corruption-case-involving-ivanka-and-don-jr-moves-ahead/

https://www.citizen.org/news/what-happened-to-the-surplus-funds-from-trumps-inauguration/

william henry harrison speedrun

@Marnix https://youtube.com/watch?v=885TwVEZ7-w

5% was crazily underpriced. Depends on resolution, of course, but saying "I will not sign another Ukraine aid bill" is ending the war.

@b575 this will be decided by the creator but to interpret "taking an action that eventually leads to resource constraints that force one side to the bargaining table" as a day 1 action to "end the war" would be pretty nuts imo.

this is about direct actions he can take, not attributing causality for (complex, multicausal) future events to the day 1 actions that may have influenced them. if trump gets on the phone with putin/zelensky and negotiates the end to the war on day 1, that resolves YES.

@Ziddletwix I mean, yes, if it merely led to resource constraints it wouldn't qualify. But I predict that's not what will happen.

I also want to add that, as much mana as I pour in this option, I will be very happy if I lose it all. I just don't think I will.

https://www.perplexity.ai/search/biden-first-day-in-office-eo-2-SgWyvMIdQ4Guj0y17x646A

Basically this list in reverse

@Quillist If Jack Smith resigns before Trump takes office, would this resolve NO or N/A? I think it should be NO.

edit: I need to slow down and read. From your other comment, I take it this would resolve N/A.

@VandelayIndustries https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/justice-department/special-counsel-jack-smith-team-resign-trump-takes-office-rcna179928 well on that note:

Special counsel Jack Smith and his team to resign before Trump takes office

Special counsel Jack Smith and his team plan to resign before Donald Trump takes office, with two outstanding criminal cases against the president-elect now upended by the election.