2024 seems to be a very high bar

https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/RL33222

@Daniel_MC I guess this can already resolve YES. Is putting pressure enough? Or would you expect that Ukraine gives the land before resolving yes?

"21. Territories: a. Crimea, Luhansk and Donetsk will be recognised as de facto Russian, including by the United States. b. Kherson and Zaporizhzhia will be frozen along the line of contact, which will mean de facto recognition along the line of contact."

https://www.ft.com/content/79eefaf8-2fc1-47ac-9653-24cf6a0239f5

@MiguelLM I thought you left some mana on the table and went to buy it up. I didn't consider that it would mean they actually had to do it, it reads to me like he only has to pressure them. Good point tho, I see why you didn't buy it to 100%

@Gen I also understand pressure should be enough

But sometimes I read something in one way and the market creator and traders see it different 😅 Therefore I ask to double check

@Yoae this should resolve to yes

Why does this market end before his next term starts?

Wait, these all resolve to N/A if he doesn't get in, right? It doesn't explicitly say that.

(if he wins)

What counts as "as we know it"?

I guess if you showed it to a counterfactual American from a decade ago or so and he would throw his hands up in horror its a YES

Including failed attempts at self-pardon? Self-pardon is generally agreed to be impossible.

@Snarflak What about taking the day off so VP can pardon him?

@Snarflak He can do whatever he wants unless the Supreme Court stops him. Is he supposed to or not, that’s a different question.

...how on EARTH would this one resolve. It might make sense to N/A this one.

@PaintspotInfez resolves YES if USA reaches Moon before China

@jim Exactly what I had in mind, thought it was clear, sorry.

@jim USA already reached the Moon before China

They do the Moon Race every century

@PaintspotInfez Yeah can't resolve cause the US never stopped being great. Would it have to stop being great first and then become great again later?

Cool market!