What will Trump do during his second term (2025–2029)?
234
9kṀ42k
Jan 1
97%
Play golf
96%
Deny Climate Change
95%
Visit a golf course more than 10% of the days he spends in office
90%
Promote the product of a supporter from the Oval Office
90%
Fire someone he nominated to a government position via social media (“fired by tweet”)
89%
Have to have the VP (or someone else) be acting president for any amount of time
89%
Increase US oil production
85%
Post on Social Media that the DOJ should investigate somebody who is subsequently investigated by the DOJ
81%
Shake hands with Putin
81%
Attend at least one current state leader funeral
80%
Call a national emergency for a non-foreign affairs issue
77%
Sign bills with a Sharpie or similar
77%
Threaten a world leader with nuclear attack
76%
Question the effectiveness or safety of vaccines in general
75%
Shake hands with Donald Tusk
72%
Detain large numbers of legal immigrants as part of a program ostensibly targeting illegal immigrants
72%
Exercise
71%
Comment Publicly on the Investment Merits of DJT Stock
70%
Pardon someone with the last name Trump (excluding himself)
68%
Have a net approval below -20% at any point

Feel free to add answers. Everything resolves N/A if he loses the 2024 presidential election.

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Why did this one resolve yes?

@TheAllMemeingEye I don’t plan to speak for the OP who resolved it, but u need more evidence than Personal meme coinS rolled out 72 hrs b4 swearing in and then immediate EO on crypto task force?

Private Trump Vance Inauguration Fund paying for unaudited Inauguration event at Trump National

Limited Edition Inauguration Gold Bible licensing fee

Golf at Trump properties within a week

EO to eliminate regulatory reporting of gift

..,

@VNetChrome cool, thanks, I had forgotten about some of some of these and wasn't aware of others

@TheAllMemeingEye yeah, I mainly went off the memecoins for him and Melania that, at least on paper, now comprise the majority of their net worth

Wait why is the market closed?

@AndrewG Can you extend the market?

@traders Another market limited to the first 100 days can be found here:

bought Ṁ10 NO

@VNetChrome If his net worth is lower when he is out of office does this resolve NO?

@Shai his family needs to be included given proven past and not to distance history

@VNetChrome Ehh too subjective for me then unless we know exactly which family members. His net worth went down during the first term so I thought it was overvalued.

@JakeLowery Golf counts as exercise right?

@SentientTree Not up to me at this point I guess! But for what it’s worth as framing, intent, I would say only if he carries his own bags

How does resolution work for this kind of market? For instance, I added an answer.. Am I now responsible for deciding the resolution?

@Siebe No the market creator will resolve, or failing that, the mods.

Currently at 43%

@AndrewG hamnhrb?

@AndrewG What would happen if he orders a covfefe?

.

@KarlK Does continuing US support for the campaign in Gaza count here?

sold Ṁ49 YES

@SentientTree i.e. whose authority to we defer to in deciding what is or isn't a genocide?

bought Ṁ5 YES

This is a good clarifying question. Perhaps we could refer to a Wikipedia page?

bought Ṁ50 NO

@KarlK Do mostly peaceful protesters count?

Needs more traders :)

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