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MANIFOLD
What will Trump do during his second term (2025–2029)?
261
Ṁ9.1kṀ53k
2029
89%
Have to have the VP (or someone else) be acting president for any amount of time
88%
Exercise
82%
Detain large numbers of legal immigrants as part of a program ostensibly targeting illegal immigrants
80%
Attend at least one current state leader funeral
78%
Fire someone he nominated to a government position via social media (“fired by tweet”)
77%
Threaten a world leader with nuclear attack
77%
Sign bills with a Sharpie or similar
77%
Question the effectiveness or safety of vaccines in general
75%
Suggest his face should be added to mount rushmore
75%
Appoint a Justice to the Supreme Court
72%
Visit a golf course more than 20% of the days he spends in office
71%
Comment Publicly on the Investment Merits of DJT Stock
67%
Get impeached
65%
Authorize or explicitly endorse violence against peaceful protesters
63%
Suppress, censor, or shut down any US news media outlet (including websites)
63%
Shake hands with Donald Tusk
60%
Pardon himself
57%
Have a net approval below -20% at any point
54%
Withdraw support for Ukraine
49%
Suggests in a speech or verified written format that Cuba join as a state

Feel free to add answers. Everything resolves N/A if he loses the 2024 presidential election.

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@Snarflak What if he attempts to stay in power beyond the expected legal limits of his term, but he doesn't call it and it isn't reported as a "third term"?

bought Ṁ548 YES

Not only did this happen, but on at least one occasion he "posted on social media" when he actually meant to send the message directly to Attorney General Pam Bondi. Bondi did as she was bid. https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5550406-trump-bondi-prosecution-truth-social-post/

@AndrewG please see my last five comments

filled a Ṁ19 NO at 40% order

I've set a calendar reminder to myself to ping the mods after 1 more week for follow up.

@mods Creator inactive. Resolutions may be possible. See Marvin's comments.

bought Ṁ535 YES

@SanghyeonSeo Yes, the US produced record oil in 2025 with multiple Trump policies (incl. day 1 orders) contributing

bought Ṁ549 YES

@LietKynes Dell today

bought Ṁ100 YES

Senate Confirms Trump Court Pick Rated ‘Not Qualified’ To Be A Federal Judge

> She has only practiced law for about nine years, well below the ABA’s 12-year minimum standard. She has less than eight years of experience in trial courts and less than seven years as a litigator. She has never tried a case as lead counsel, whether civil or criminal.

@Ansel @AndrewG Do sections 1 and 3 of the 25th Amendment count for this?
Section 1: "In case of the removal of the President from office or of his death or resignation, the Vice President shall become President." So if Trump dies and the VP takes over, would that be a "successful invocation"?
Section 3 says that the President can (normally temporarily) turn over his duties to the VP as acting president. Would this be a "successful invocation"?

bought Ṁ10 YES

@AndrewEdstrom Why is this so low? He has committed a huge number of serious crimes and has already given out a number of questionable pardons. What reason could he possibly have not to do this?

bought Ṁ30 YES

@PlasmaBallin this should resolve to true

Hasn't he already done that?

I extended this until 2029 January

@AndrewG reopen for trading?

@mods Reopen boop?

@Quroe Creator is active afaict. Wish he put whether this closed early on purpose or not in the description (sometimes people want predictions that get locked in), but he didn't and he's around so I'll write it off as "intended."

Why did this one resolve yes?

@TheAllMemeingEye I don’t plan to speak for the OP who resolved it, but u need more evidence than Personal meme coinS rolled out 72 hrs b4 swearing in and then immediate EO on crypto task force?

Private Trump Vance Inauguration Fund paying for unaudited Inauguration event at Trump National

Limited Edition Inauguration Gold Bible licensing fee

Golf at Trump properties within a week

EO to eliminate regulatory reporting of gift

..,

@VNetChrome cool, thanks, I had forgotten about some of some of these and wasn't aware of others

@TheAllMemeingEye yeah, I mainly went off the memecoins for him and Melania that, at least on paper, now comprise the majority of their net worth