What will Trump do during his second term (2025–2029)?
➕
Plus
156
Ṁ26k
Jan 1
97%
Post a Tweet
97%
Deny Climate Change
97%
Withdraw the US from the Paris Climate Agreement
95%
Increase US oil production
92%
Pardon a person convicted of a violent crime against police (e.g. January 6 insurrectionists)
83%
Promote the product of a supporter from the Oval Office
80%
Enrich himself & his family financially
79%
Appoint a Justice to the Supreme Court
78%
Shake hands with Donald Tusk
73%
Appoint a federal judge who is rated NQ (Not Qualified) by the American Bar Association
70%
Attend at least one current state leader funeral
69%
Exercise
68%
Comment Publicly on the Investment Merits of DJT Stock
68%
Threaten a world leader with nuclear attack
65%
Initiate tariffs that would apply to GPUs from Taiwan
65%
Reverse Biden's executive order on AI
62%
Question the effectiveness or safety of vaccines in general
62%
Authorize or explicitly endorse violence against peaceful protesters
59%
Use the powers of his office to hurt Elon Musk's competitors
59%
Post on Social Media that the DOJ should investigate somebody who is subsequently investigated by the DOJ

Feel free to add answers. Everything resolves N/A if he loses the 2024 presidential election.

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bought Ṁ10 NO

@VNetChrome If his net worth is lower when he is out of office does this resolve NO?

@Shai his family needs to be included given proven past and not to distance history

@VNetChrome Ehh too subjective for me then unless we know exactly which family members. His net worth went down during the first term so I thought it was overvalued.

@JakeLowery Golf counts as exercise right?

@SentientTree Not up to me at this point I guess! But for what it’s worth as framing, intent, I would say only if he carries his own bags

How does resolution work for this kind of market? For instance, I added an answer.. Am I now responsible for deciding the resolution?

@Siebe No the market creator will resolve, or failing that, the mods.

Currently at 43%

@AndrewG hamnhrb?

@AndrewG What would happen if he orders a covfefe?

.

@KarlK Does continuing US support for the campaign in Gaza count here?

sold Ṁ49 YES

@SentientTree i.e. whose authority to we defer to in deciding what is or isn't a genocide?

bought Ṁ50 NO

@KarlK Do mostly peaceful protesters count?

Needs more traders :)

bought Ṁ25 NO

Call a national emergency for a non-foreign affairs issue

E.g. Border wall funds appropriation & COVID would resolve yes

@Odoacre Can you expand on the criteria?

@AndrewG Can you? I'm curious if there's a threshold. Would withdrawing permission to use ATACMS mean withdrawing support?

@AndrewEdstrom Does the pardon have to succeed legally, or does this resolve Yes in the attempt?

It resolves yes if he attempts to pardon himself. I will update the language accordingly.

It resolves yes if he attempts to pardon himself.

(Turns out I cannot update the language in the question, nor delete the second comment that I posted accidentally. Sorry!)

Ha! No worries, thanks for clarifying. BTW Typically people edit the comment to say [deleted] 🤷‍♂️

@AndrewG Can you update the question accordingly?

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