MANIFOLD
Who or what will President Trump go after before the end of 2025?
198
Ṁ6.7kṀ85k
Feb 1
99.0%
Jack Smith
99.0%
The New York Times (NYT)
99.0%
Miles Taylor
99.0%
Stephen Colbert
99.0%
John Bolton
99.0%
James Comey
99.0%
Solar Energy
98.4%
Wind Energy
93%
Jimmy Kimmel
90%
National Institutes of Health
89%
John Brennan
83%
Leakers
81%
Ann Selzer
74%
Vaccine mandates
73%
JB Pritzker
68%
Panama
65%
Alexander Vindman
58%
the National Archives
45%
Any non-Tesla electric car manufacturer
43%
The Atlantic

Between inauguration day and the end of the year.

‘Go after’ in the sense of making their lives difficult in some public way, causing them financial hardship, etc.. In most cases, a post or something spoken during an interview only will not count, will have to be accompanied by some specific action. I will be the final judge of any edge-cases but will read any sources or arguments made in the comments.

Let’s see where this goes. N/As on added items that are ridiculously broad or way too difficult to prove.

If not elected, not elected resolves yes, everything else no immediately after election results.

  • Update 2025-02-01 (PST): 'Going after someone' includes actions taken against loyalists, such as Liz Cheney & Jan 6 Committee. (AI summary of creator comment)

  • Update 2025-07-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In response to a question about what action would qualify for the 'Biden's family' option, the creator gave an example: removing Secret Service protection.

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bought Ṁ20 NO

@FastFourier It seems like he was sued in 2018 but that lawsuit didn't go anywhere and in 2024 was dropped altogether

bought Ṁ110 YES

@FastFourier From Wikipedia, Trump sued Selzer: "Trump filed the threatened lawsuit against Selzer on December 16, 2024 in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Iowa.[29][30][31]"

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ann_Selzer

@Predictor resolve?

@MachiNi @traders I extended the close time. A lot of these had fairly ambiguous pricing. I don't see a clear list of how they should resolve. Consider this a bounty for research. This isn't intended to change what counts for the market, relevant events still need to be from 2025.

bought Ṁ100 YES
bought Ṁ230 YES

@CryptoNeoLiberalist Resolves YES?

bought Ṁ10 YES

RFK Jr on the mass shooting in Minnesota: "We're launching studies on the potential contribution of some of the SSRI drugs and some of the other psychiatric drugs that might be contributing to violence." https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3lxhkplfx7j2g

@CryptoNeoLiberalist You’ve got to be fucking kidding me.

reposted

@CryptoNeoLiberalist You’ve got to be fucking kidding me.

bought Ṁ50 YES

Seems likely to me

I haven't verified these myself, but perhaps they should all resolve YES:

I'm confused by some of these. for example, how did he go after Biden's family, and why does it seem so likely that he'll go after Beyonce?

bought Ṁ165 YES

@ZaneMiller Removed secret service protection or something like that.

@Predictor this should resolve yes already.

Trump even doubled down today https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114776149269773065

@dgga Why, what’s up with it?

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