How will trump’s second term end?
59
325Ṁ4067
2029
51%
He declines to run a third time and steps down
17%
He will die in office
10%
He runs in and loses the next election and steps down
5%
He will be impeached and removed from office by the Senate
3%
He will be legally removed via non-impeachment or election means (e.g. the 25th, a new amendment, etc.)
3%
Other
3%
Trump seeks a third term via a position in the presidential succession, and it fails
2%
Trump seeks a third term via a position in the presidential succession, and it works
2%
He resigns before the end of his term
1.6%
A coup occurs, and his faction loses

This question is intended to be comprehensive for all possible ways trump’s second term could end.

  • Update 2025-04-28 (PST): - If Trump is impeached and then resigns before or during the Senate trial, the market will be resolved as resigns. (AI summary of creator comment)

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