Will 1+1 still be equal to 2 on Dec. 31, 9999? | Manifold

Will 1+1 still be equal to 2 on Dec. 31, 9999?

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A test in how ultra-long term markets with a guaranteed resolution behave.

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Does this resolve NO if https://manifold.markets/vdb/11-CytAEphUy5?r=YW5kcmk resolves anything but 2?

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to the option that has the highest number of holders by the market's closing time. [Edit: To clarify, "the highest number of holders" here refers to "Yes" holders. "No" holders do not count.] Background: The purpuse is to explore how fact weigh against popular opinion. Obviously, 1+1=2 as a fact. Yet the market may weigh toward a different answer, if it becomes more profitable. Contribution: Anyone can add new answers to the question.

The market does not have a guaranteed resolution.

@121 It is guaranteed that it will never resolve. Manifold will be long gone.

What is the sense behind the “no” holders? Is it pure goofing around, or is there some strategy (like waiting for people who really are goofing around to dunk the price even lower to catch a profitable exit)?

He just wanted to learn some market dynamics, guys.

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This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2027

This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2029

This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030

This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2028

Will leap seconds still exist on 31 December 2050?

Will numbers be unambiguous before 2045?

Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?

Will humanity calculate pi to more than 1 Quadrillion (10^15) digits before the end of 2030?

This question will resolve NO on January 1, 2050 (risk free interest rate question)

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Will leap seconds still exist on 31 December 2050?

Will numbers be unambiguous before 2045?

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This question will resolve NO on January 1, 2050 (risk free interest rate question)

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