Will numbers be unambiguous before 2045? | Manifold

Will numbers be unambiguous before 2045?

9

1kṀ545

2045

31%

chance

19

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

What number is "1,234"? Ask an American and they'll say it's 1,234, but talk to a European and they'll say it's 1,234.

That's already bad enough, but it gets worse! Ask an American what number "one billion" refers to and they'll say one billion, but a European will think it means one billion!

Randomly having 3+ orders-of-magnitude miscommunications is a really dumb way to run a civilization. We gotta pick one guys.

Market resolves based on whether one set of unambiguous methods of talking about numbers reaches at least 95% adoption among the relevant group of people. (That being everyone who uses Arabic numerals for the first issue, and all English speakers for the second issue.)

This market is about numbers only, not dates, systems of measurement, or other places where humanity has not yet gotten its act together. (It does however refer to any other serious numerical ambiguities that I didn't mention above.)

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Haven't Europeans given up and started using the American billion? In the UK, a billion is always 10^9

@Fion No! German is def still different

@rayman2000 but it mentions that point only being about english speakers

Hmm, maybe this one is already solved?

@IsaacKing *antisolved

@TheAllMemeingEye proving once again that I can't read!

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Will leap seconds still exist on 31 December 2050?

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Will any country with at least 10 million people be using primarily decimal time before 2050?

Will we get AGI before 2044?

Will the tenth Dedekind number be known by 2040?

Will the exact value of Busy Beaver(6) be known before 2075?

Will any LLM be able to multiply together arbitrary decimal numbers by the end of 2027?

Will humanity calculate pi to more than 1 Quadrillion (10^15) digits before the end of 2030?

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Related questions

Will leap seconds still exist on 31 December 2050?

Will go be solved before 2040?

Will the world mostly converge on a single date format before 31/29/30?

Will any country with at least 10 million people be using primarily decimal time before 2050?

Will we get AGI before 2044?

Will the tenth Dedekind number be known by 2040?

Will the exact value of Busy Beaver(6) be known before 2075?

Will any LLM be able to multiply together arbitrary decimal numbers by the end of 2027?

Will humanity calculate pi to more than 1 Quadrillion (10^15) digits before the end of 2030?

Assuming SB 1047 is passed, will the "compute threshold" of 10^26 flop be raised before 2030?

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