Who will be the Republican Senate leader after Mitch McConnell?
➕
Plus
98
Ṁ34k
resolved Nov 13
100%99.0%
John Thune
0.4%
John Cornyn
0.1%
John Barasso
0.1%
Rick Scott
0.0%
John Boozman
0.0%
John Kennedy
0.0%
John Hoeven
0.0%
Lindsey Graham
0.0%
Joni Ernst
0.1%
Steve Daines
0.0%
Tim Scott
0.0%
Rand Paul
0.1%
Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
0.1%
Jonn Cena
0.1%Other

Mitch McConnell is the current Republican leader in the Senate. Who will succeed him? It doesn't matter if they succeed him as majority or minority leader.

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FYI:

"Thune received 29 votes and Cornyn got 24 on the second ballot, according to Thune’s office."

No idea what the vote count was on the initial ballot. (Scott was knocked out though)

reposted

The vote is happening soon!

This market is now included in the Super Model aggregate.
https://www.thesupermodel.com/p/senate-majority-leader

bought Ṁ150 YES

Hasn’t been traded on in months..

Vote is in 5 days.

Daines is out according to https://www.axios.com/2024/11/08/trump-rick-scott-senate-gop-leader-thune

bought Ṁ150 YES
bought Ṁ15 YES

@Catnee moment

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 50% order

@f Take my limit order

John Cornyn would be lucky to even win his next primary

@Chimp being leader would probably increase odds of that

How does the election process work? I'm having trouble finding information about it online besides "elected by the senators". Is it a secret ballot? Could we see multiple rounds like with the Speaker vote?

@DanMan314 just a simple majority vote in-caucus. party leader isn't a real (constitutional) position like speaker so it doesnt need a majority on the floor

@SemioticRivalry Is it a secret ballot? Will we know who's voting for who, and how many rounds it takes?

@DanMan314 it's a secret ballot. i am guessing there won't be very many candidates and it'll probably be 1 vote.

Since the Republicans seem to be deciding between multiple elderly white men named John, the real question is will they be John or not:

/SimonGrayson/will-the-next-republican-senate-lea-80c2bb75dbe0

How about betting on their characteristics?

reposted

Mitch is out in November!

@ManifoldPolitics I was about to ask if there was a dashboard for it.

typo for Daines. your choice whether to let it stand

@Conflux I'll let it stand

I think that this is the real question on everyone’s mind, will the next leader have a first name of John?? (I couldn’t help but to make this market when I saw the chance of a John at 64%)

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