Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson?
1.9k
2025
30%
Steve Scalise (current Republican Majority Leader, previous Speaker-Elect)
16%
Other
7%
Mike Johnson Again (after being removed from power, then put back in power)
7%
Elise Stefanik (Republican Conference Chairman)
6%
Byron Donalds (Previous Speaker contender)
4%
Jim Jordan (Previous Republican Speaker-Elect)
3%
Tom Emmer (Republican Whip, previous Speaker-Elect)
3%
Tom Cole (Chair of the House Rules Committee)
3%
Mark Green (Previous Speaker contender)
3%
Donald Trump (Republican Candidate for President)
2%
Kevin Hern (Previous Speaker contender)
2%
Chuck Fleischmann (Previous Speaker contender)
2%
Austin Scott (Previous Speaker contender)
2%
Jodey Arrington (Previous Speaker contender)
2%
Jack Bergman (Previous Speaker contender)
2%
Gary Palmer (Republican Policy Committee Chairman, Previous Speaker contender)
1.5%
Roger Williams (Previous Speaker contender)

Mike Johnson is the current Republican Speaker of the House and the #1 Republican in the US House of Representatives.

If the Republicans lost their majority in the House, Johnson would likely become become the Republican Minority Leader, which would then be the position of the #1 Republican under a Democratic Party House.

This market resolves to the name of the next Republican after Mike Johnson to assume the position of either Speaker of the House or Minority Leader.

In the case of a leadership crisis like the one resulting from Speaker McCarthy's removal as speaker, the person appointed to Speaker pro tempore (if anyone) does not count. Only a permanent Republican Speaker or permanent Republican Minority Leader resolves this market.

If you have suggestions for other candidates to add, please leave a comment below.

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Version for May 1st:

Ugh- if tfg were elected Speaker of the House would that put him 2nd in line of succession for President - conveniently skipping the election if g-d forbid …something something stochastic something …

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