How old will the Democratic Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
39
Ṁ1.2kṀ2.9k2028
99%
Over 35
85%
Over 40
77%
Over 45
73%
Over 50
61%
Over 55
53%
Over 60
28%
Over 65
13%
Over 70
9%
Over 75
3%
Over 80
1.9%
Over 85
Age will be determined by their age on election day, 2028.
Any amount of time once they've reached the age will mean they've over that age; that is to say, someone does not have to turn 41 for the "Over 40" option to resolve YES, so long as they have turned 40 by election day.
This market will resolve once the nominee is chosen by the party at the National Convention.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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