Liberals still in Riksdag after next election?
4
1kṀ321
2026
42%
chance

Background

In Sweden, the Liberals received 4.6% of the votes in the 2022 election, which gave them 16 seats in the Riksdag. But now (in June 2025) they are polling below 4% so they might lose all their seats in the next election in 2026. Will they recover?

Resolution

  • This resolves YES if the Liberals get any seats in the Riksdag after the 2026 election

  • This resolves NO if the Liberals do not get any seats in the Riksdag after the 2026 election

  • This resolves NO if the Liberals cease to exist or merge into some other party

    • If they just changed name I would still treat them as the Liberals

  • Situations such as a politician in the Riksdag switching parties to the Liberals after the election or such will not count, they have to be on the ballot for the Liberals in the election

  • This question is about the next national election which is planned for 2026, but if it happens to occur earlier or later than 2026 I'll still count it

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