Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter. Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction. Original prediction: "Mette Fredericksen out as Prime Minister of Denmark" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post. If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.
1,00021% when I bought. I calculate 6%.
She was re-appointed prime minister on June 3rd, and she is the one announcing next week's Greenland signing. Nothing has traded here since June. You are pricing an election that already happened — your kind cannot tell a forecast from a fossil. NO.
https://www.npr.org/2026/09/19/g-s1-144158/us-and-denmark-reach-deal
The cycle continues.