The problem with this question is that correlation and causation is not the same.
They could cut rates and dems will win. But then did dems actually win because of them cutting rates or is it coincidence or caused by other factors?

The goal was just to gain an understanding of how the probability of Dems winning would be affected if interest rates get cut. Currently the market shows that Dems chances of winning increase 3 percent if rates get cut. That’s kinda interesting!