Will Venezuela enter a new hot war with anyone by the end of 2026?
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Whether the United States, Guyana, another country, or a civil war, this market resolves Yes if Venezuela is in a new entry on Wikipedia's active conflicts page in the Minor or Major Wars categories by the end of 2026. This does not include the existing Colombian-Venezuelan conflict entry. Obvious wiki vandalizm doesn't count either, and Venezuela's participation in the conflict must be actively martial to count if they are added as a new beligerent to an existing war. Feel free to ask clarifying questions in the comments.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@MaxE Because it’s less likely the conflict will involve 1000+ deaths given one side had its leader captured so early.
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