Will there be a civil war with at least 1,000 deaths in Venezuela in 2026?
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A civil war will be defined as follows:
There are at least two organized armed groups
They're fighting for control of the government, territory, or policy
The conflict reaches a certain scale of violence--defined here as at least 1,000 battle-related deaths in 2026 according to the high end of the range displayed on Wikipedia. If deaths only exceed 1,000 after 2026, it doesn't count.
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