Which of these twelve countries will have at least one known nuclear weapon in their possession at the end of 2025?
43
2.1kṀ57152026
20%
Iran
97%
North Korea
98%
Pakistan
96%
Israel
4%
Japan
10%
South Korea
82%
Germany
3%
Canada
19%
Saudi Arabia
7%
Taiwan
83%
Turkey
3%
Brazil
Nominal possession is enough to resolve Yes. A nuke smuggled into a country without its consent is not. Shared nukes (such as via NATO), wonky old nukes, and new forms of nuclear weapons do count. Dirty bombs with no intent to create a chain reaction do not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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