Will China test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2025?
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The Chinese have said they will growth their strategic and tactical weapons stockpiles rapidly over the coming decade. This market resolves YES for the first test during the timeframe between the open and close dates conducted by the Chinese government.
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Growth of stockpiles doesn’t require testing of actual bombs. Nuclear physics is an old science. Nowadays the only thing worth testing is delivery.
Only reason for a test would be as intimidation.