"Margrethe, the longest-serving monarch in Europe, announced during her New Year’s speech that she would abdicate her throne in January. Her eldest son, Crown Prince Frederik, will succeed her." (source)
Resolves YES if:
a protester verbally confronts or heckles Frederik with anti-monarchist language
and the brush is face-to-face with Frederik
and the incident is reported on by at least one credible news organization or journalist
anytime between January 2nd and February 29th
Basically we are looking for an event similar to the "Taxpayers pay for your parade" moment with Charles.
Anything that would NOT count:
An organized protest where Frederik is not present
Any non-verbal signage presented to Frederik
Frederik is directly and verbally heckled but with personal criticism (i.e. his past conduct), rather than opposition to the monarchy system in general
An incident that isn't covered by a news organization or journalist; i.e. if we only know about it through a social media post (unless the social media post is by a journalist, in which case I would resolve YES)
I will not bet on this market as there may be some subjectivity in resolving.
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Heckling with personal criticism should be included. It's the personal behavior of monarchs that has a strong correlation with opposition to a monarchy system in general. Of course there are are drivers and factors that drive opposition, some more principaled but I suspect that's a minority. Maybe we need a second market that covers any heckling?
@DavidS Thanks for your comment! I wanna keep this about anti-monarchism / republicanism. In truth my motivation behind this market was being interested in the "taxpayers pay for your parade" moment I linked in the description and a curiosity if we'll see something super similar. But I like your idea about a second market for any heckling! I'll make that now. Or maybe make it strictly about personal, so these two markets could resolve in opposite ways.
Edit:
ta-da!