Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Basic
309
407k
Jul 29
97%
Gamers
95%
The cool kids
4%
Specialist
95%
Generalist
86%
Libtard
96%
Believing illegal immigrants have heritable cognitive traits
86%
The right of gay men to protect their marijuana farm with guns.
5%
Bipedalism
90%
Use of stone tools
7%
Believing non-human animals have heritable cognitive traits
94%
The person who shot at Trump
91%
Believing humans have heritable cognitive traits
88%
Believing humans have heritable physical traits
10%
αγάπη
90%
Effective political campaigning and coalition building
24%
Being attracted to overweight men
88%
Hobbits
95%
Good faith voting that prioritizes capitalist over populist interpretation of the market
12%
One-party system

Each answer contains a question: Do you think the person/character/concept is more Right-Wing (YES) or more Left-Wing (NO)? Bet YES, or NO, according to your opinion. 1 person = 1 vote (per answer), so having more shares does not make your vote count for more.

Heavily inspired from @Joshua's excellent market,

/Joshua/good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr

You can submit any person/character/concept (shortened to p/c/c for the rest of the description), as well as a link / short phrase to give traders some context. If other people trade on your submission, you'll get mana off of their transaction fees (edit may 29: currently not true, but I believe it is being implemented currently).

I may N/A options for quality control, or edit them to provide a more neutral summary.


As a trader, you should buy any amount of YES in p/c/c you think are Right-Wing, buy any amount of NO in p/c/c you think are Left-Wing. I will leave the definition of those terms up to you. The amount of shares doesn't matter for the resolution, one share of yes is one vote and one hundred shares of yes is also one vote.

If I think you are voting purely as a troll, such as buying no in every option, I may block you or disregard your votes. Please vote in good faith! But hey, I can't read your mind. Ultimately this market is on the honor system.

Note that market prices will be a bit strange here, because this is simultaneously a market and a poll. If you sell your shares, you are also removing your vote.

The market will close every every week; See the close date to know on what day. I will then check the positions tab on options that have been submitted.

If there is a clear majority of YES holders, the option resolves YES.

If there is a clear majority of NO holders, the option resolves NO.

If it's very close and votes are still coming in, the option will remain un-resolved.

The market will then re-open for new submissions, with a new close date the next week. This continues as long as I think the market is worth running.

It does not matter what % the market is at, and bots holding a position are also counted.

Some guidlines:

  • I encourage you not to bet options to extremes (1% or 99%) before a quite clear majority has been established. Otherwise, it prevents others from betting toward that extreme, and can bias the results.

I may update these exact criteria to better match the spirit of the question if anyone has any good suggestions, so please leave a comment if you do.

See:

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Libtard

@bohaska Why's this being voted as Right-Wing instead of Left-Wing?

Because right wing people use that word I’d guess

Like if you make one called crooked hillary i bet it ll be judged as right wing too. Only right wing people ever ‘say’ that

Believing non-human animals have heritable cognitive traits

Isn't blank-slatism re dogs ("it's not the breed, it's the owner") a view held somewhat more by left- than right-wing people? It also seems like it should be, for consistency with views about humans.

Opposition to breed specific legislation also seems to be mostly left wing, looking at which states have banned it, but I guess there are confounding factors there.

@Bayesian when will this reopen?

Thanks for the reminder, will reopen shortly

if shortly is a day.. mb but woo reopened

The right of gay men to protect their marijuana farm with guns.
bought Ṁ50 The right of gay men... NO

Gun rights supporters in leftism are far more common than marijuana rights supporters in conservatism

What about right-libertarians, minarchists, and ancaps though?

bought Ṁ50 Answer #ssashitb9h YES

Control of fire is absolutely right wing (go read Gaston Bachelard’s “the psychoanalysis of fire”)

Bipedalism
bought Ṁ10 Bipedalism NO

Clearly left because it contains bi and lgbt+ is left

Have fun with today's options!

These are all right wing because return to monke.

funny this is at 92% right wing when since 2000 includes presidents like Barack Obama or Joe Biden

it's tied 2-2 for republican vs democrat winners

although i assume there are very few people who voted for Obama Trump and Biden

Personally I'd consider Obama and Biden as mostly centrist, largely because American politics in general are so extremely right skewed

Consider, however, that all the Democratic presidents since 2000 won the popular vote, while the Republican presidents lost it 2 times out of three. If you voted with the median voter in every election since 2000, then you voted for a Democrat every time except 2004. To have also voted for Bush in 2000 and Trump in 2016, you must be more right-wing than most Americans, but there's no election where voting for the winning Democrat made you more left-wing than most Americans.

bought Ṁ5 Answer #0a18btdwh6 NO

What part of the right-wing supports e/acc

Technocapitalist neoreaction, of course.

I guess you can make that argument. I've always associated e/acc a lot more with the left because most of them are secularists

Believing non-human animals have heritable cognitive traits

Is there anyone who doesn't believe this?

@vibhav winner-winnea or electoral college/supreme court winner?

whoever was elected and took office

Believing humans have heritable physical traits

Isn't this just a straightforwardly true basic statement of genetics? Does anyone, left or right wing, believe otherwise? Are there people who haven't noticed that children have resemblance to their parents?

Just left-wingers, apparently.

bought Ṁ10 Believing humans hav... NO

yeah I'm not sure how that's right or left wing it's just kinda true

Pretty wild, huh?

[nvm, misread which option you were replying to]

I think it's falling on the right-wing side because of the vague association with eugenics and other right-wing things. Which is obviously ridiculous, right, but when it's on such a knife's edge and you have to make a decision one way or the other...