Will Manifold complete this 3000 piece puzzle in under a week (No Preview Edition 😈)?
12
219
αΉ€250
resolved Sep 13
Resolved
YES

Manifold Plays Puzzle, round 2 (no preview image this time)

https://puzzle.aggie.io/V2mA7p

Resolves YES immediately if the puzzle is completed by or before close time.
Resolves NO otherwise.
Resolves N/A if someone hacks the website somehow, or if someone uses a puzzle-solving bot (let's try to keep things human-only πŸ˜ƒ).

Inspired by brubsby's puzzle market.

We did it!

The puzzle has been completed in 2 day, 11 hours, and 48 minutes, and the market resolves YES. I chose a map of Europe after the brubsby's market, which was that of North America. Congrats to anyone who participated!

Get αΉ€600 play money

πŸ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
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4αΉ€11
5αΉ€7
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predicted YES

As suggested by Kongo, I have already created the round 3 markets!

One for the puzzle:

And one for the secret location in it!

predicted YES

Almost there!

bought αΉ€500 of YES

@NoyaV finished now

bought αΉ€2 of NO

In the current statement of the market there is some potential profit in obstructing the process, because the finish looks inevitable and tht rises the percentage

I suggest: multichoice market with secret image - photo from somwhere on the earth. Each choice in the market is a potential country. The would be motivtion to solve the puzzle to be first to understand the location and be the first to buy in.

predicted YES

@KongoLandwalker So something a la Geoguesser, where the picture is built little by little via the puzzle? Interesting. Tho once the picture is recognizable enough, it may make people lose interest into completing the puzzle, I'll have to think about it!

predicted NO

@NoyaV one market about completion, second about guessing the location.

predicted YES

First sboteur encountered

bought αΉ€5 of NO

@KongoLandwalker felt bad and gave up

bought αΉ€100 of YES

I've found Cairo. Must be a rel map of Mediterranian

I was there on the previous round. Here is partial timelapse: https://youtu.be/b-1c2t-YU1k

Some analisys. On the new picture there is text and a lot of blue pieces. I suppose it is a map. of something with sea in the middle.