Short description. You are presented with various bit strings, some generated by me (by hand) and some generated by a "true" source of randomness. Your task is to figure out which are which. In each pair exactly one of the strings has been generated by me. An answer resolves NO if the former string has been generated by me and YES if the latter one has been.
Long description.
I have generated 40 bit strings, each 25 bits long, by tapping the "0" and "1" keys on my keyboard. This took me 260 seconds.
I have also generated 40 bit strings with a short Python code using a "true" source of randomness.
The ith option contains the ith string I generated and the ith string from the randomness source in some order. Your task is to figure out which one is which.
The ordering of the human-generated bit strings have not been changed, i.e. the first option contains the first string I generated, the second one the second and so on.
I will be resolving the markets one by one starting from the first one. After each resolution there will be some time to re-evaluate one's probabilities for the remaining markets.
(A market will resolve NO if the former string has been generated by me and YES if the latter one has been. Memory trick: NO = 0 = 0th string is mine, YES = 1 = 1st string is mine, when indexing strings with 0-indexing.
Another memory trick: there is a colorful bar in each of the options. Try to push its endpoint to the left if you think the left-most string has been generated by me and to the right if the right-most string has been.
Understandably people find this confusing, be careful to make your bets in the correct direction! I also included an example pair, where the all-zeros string is meant to be the human-generated one and hence that market resolves YES.)
Scheduling.
I will be resolving the first market on October 28th or so. After that, I'll be resolving the markets one by one, probably at a pace of 1-2 per day. (I am open to requests to speed up or slow down.) So beware - this will be slow. Good reason to automate and write programs!
See also.
What events will happen on this market?
Data.
The correct row so far:
1000101110111000011101100110011100010001
All 40 pairs in a convenient copyable form.
1111010000100010000011100 1110110001011101010001000
0011010000101100110001110 0001101010001101011101001
1110010110001101011000110 0101000111001110100101001
1000101110100011000111010 0110011110111010010111000
1000000000010110011100100 1110010100001101010011110
1110100010000110101110111 1010100100001011010000010
1100110110000110110110100 0010111100101100101100000
0100010001000010011110101 1111001010011001111101010
1101111001001001101110100 0001000011001001011000100
1110100111010001110111101 0110100001101110100110001
0000110111010100001101011 0110001011011101110011110
0101100010010101101110110 1100011010100110100111100
0011010111111100111010110 0001101110000101101000110
0111101000010100011011001 1100001110110100110001011
1110010001101100000010110 0111110000101100000010011
1000101110000111011011011 1110000011110100100111011
1111001000111011000110110 1010101101101011001011000
1100001010100110011010000 0001100011000101110001001
0101011100011100111100100 1100101100011001111011101
0110010101111010000101010 0101111000101100101011111
0011011011110111000101000 0001111100000001010101101
1110011001110001111111100 1101111010001000110110111
1111111001110101011101011 0000110110010111000101011
0011101111010011001111000 1001010101010001001010100
1101111001001000110001101 0000110010000110011000011
0111010111010101001100111 1000100001100100000110110
1011101010011010111110001 1111100100101000110110000
0001011101100011101100111 1011000111011100000111100
1010010111001000011010101 0110011100011100011000100
0011110011101010110011100 0001101101110010011001100
1100010100101010000010001 1101000100001101101101111
1101001000100101101000100 0110101100011110110000001
1100111001011110111011000 0100111101000100000101010
0001101100011000100010011 0110011101000011100111111
1100100011011000111101011 0100110011101011001011010
1001000110100111010010111 0111010011010111011100000
0001101010001101110001101 0110101011100110001110110
1101010100110110001101010 1000111111000000011101111
1010110111001010010110000 1010100110000100001100001
1111101100001000000100110 0001011010110001001001101
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