Conditional on Nancy Pelosi visiting Taiwan, will China use direct military force against the US or Taiwan with casualties?
3%
chance

Play-money betting
Mana (M$) is the play-money used by our platform to keep track of your bets. It's completely free for you and your friends to get started!
A trader bought M$5 / M$8 of YES from 1.5% to 3%
11 hours ago
A trader bought M$10 / M$10 of NO at 1.5%
a day ago
A trader sold M$101 of NO from 1.2% to 1.5%
2 days ago
A trader sold M$82 of NO from 1.0% to 1.2%
6 days ago
A trader bought M$1 / M$20 of YES from 0.7% to 1.0%
7 days ago
A trader sold M$1 of YES from 0.8% to 0.7%
7 days ago
A trader sold M$5 of YES from 2% to 0.8%
7 days ago
A trader bought M$20 of NO at 2%
13 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO at 2%
13 days ago
A trader bought M$20 of NO from 3% to 2%
13 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of YES from 2% to 3%
13 days ago
A trader bought M$112 / M$200 of YES from 2.0% to 2%
13 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO from 2% to 2.0%
13 days ago
A trader bought M$141 / M$141 of NO at 2%
13 days ago
A trader bought M$0 / M$2 of YES at 2.0%
13 days ago
A trader bought M$168 / M$282 of NO at 3%
13 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of YES from 1.9% to 2%
13 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO from 2.0% to 1.9%
13 days ago
A trader sold M$823 of NO from 1.0% to 2.0%
13 days ago
A trader bought M$50 / M$50 of NO at 2%
13 days ago
A trader sold M$4 of YES from 1.6% to 1.0%
14 days ago
A trader sold M$4 of YES from 2.0% to 1.6%
14 days ago
A trader bought M$5 of YES at 2.0%
14 days ago
A trader bought M$10,000 / M$10,000 of NO from 5% to 2.0%
14 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO at 5%
14 days ago
A trader bought M$6 / M$6 of YES at 4%
14 days ago
A trader bought M$9 / M$9 of YES at 3%
14 days ago
A trader bought M$100 / M$100 of YES at 4%
14 days ago
A trader bought M$100 of NO at 5%
14 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO at 5%
14 days ago
A trader bought M$0 of NO at 5%
14 days ago
A trader bought M$300 of NO at 5%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO at 5%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO at 5%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$300 of NO at 5%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$0 of NO at 5%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$0 of NO at 5%
15 days ago
A trader sold M$49 of YES at 5%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$200 of NO from 10% to 5%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$100 / M$100 of YES at 5%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$99 of YES from 5% to 10%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$5 of NO at 5%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$1 of YES at 5%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$45 of YES from 3% to 5%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$1,000 of NO from 4% to 3%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$1 of NO at 4%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$5 of YES from 3% to 4%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$25 / M$25 of NO at 8%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$5 / M$5 of NO at 5%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$203 / M$228 of NO at 10%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$228 / M$228 of NO at 10%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$262 / M$262 of NO at 10%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$131 / M$131 of NO at 7%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO at 3%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$1,000 / M$1,000 of NO at 4%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$1,000 of NO from 4% to 3%
15 days ago
A trader bought M$2 / M$2 of YES at 1.9%
16 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO at 4%
16 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO from 5% to 4%
16 days ago
A trader bought M$5 of YES from 3% to 5%
16 days ago
A trader bought M$55 / M$100 of YES at 3%
16 days ago
A trader bought M$100 of NO from 4% to 3%
16 days ago
A trader bought M$200 of NO from 9% to 4%
16 days ago
A trader bought M$20 of NO from 10% to 9%
16 days ago
A trader bought M$73 of NO from 17% to 10%
16 days ago
A trader bought M$30 of YES from 5% to 17%
16 days ago
A trader bought M$3 / M$3 of YES at 3%
16 days ago
A trader bought M$2 / M$5 of YES at 1.0%
16 days ago
A trader bought M$300 of NO from 10% to 5%
16 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO from 11% to 10%
16 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO at 11%
17 days ago
A trader bought M$1 / M$2 of YES at 0.7%
17 days ago
A trader bought M$15 / M$15 of YES at 9%
17 days ago
A trader bought M$15 of NO from 13% to 11%
17 days ago
A trader bought M$25 of NO from 15% to 13%
17 days ago
A trader bought M$5 of NO at 15%
17 days ago
A trader bought M$5 of NO from 16% to 15%
17 days ago
A trader bought M$30 / M$30 of NO at 16%
17 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of YES from 11% to 16%
17 days ago
A trader sold M$7 of YES from 15% to 11%
17 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of YES from 10% to 15%
17 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of YES from 6% to 10%
17 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO at 6%
17 days ago
A trader bought M$400 of NO from 22% to 6%
17 days ago
A trader bought M$36 / M$36 of YES at 16%
17 days ago
A trader bought M$50 of YES from 2% to 22%
17 days ago
A trader bought M$200 of NO from 5% to 2%
17 days ago
A trader bought M$50 of NO from 6% to 5%
18 days ago
A trader bought M$1 of NO from 7% to 6%
18 days ago
A trader sold M$32 of NO from 6% to 7%
18 days ago
A trader sold M$96 of NO from 4% to 6%
18 days ago
A trader sold M$11 of NO at 4%
18 days ago
A trader bought M$100 / M$100 of NO at 9%
18 days ago
A trader bought M$300 of NO from 17% to 4%
18 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO from 18% to 17%
18 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO from 20% to 18%
18 days ago
A trader bought M$25 of NO from 24% to 20%
18 days ago
A trader bought M$50 of NO from 38% to 24%
18 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO from 41% to 38%
18 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO from 45% to 41%
18 days ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO from 50% to 45%
18 days ago
Play-money betting
Mana (M$) is the play-money used by our platform to keep track of your bets. It's completely free for you and your friends to get started!