MANIFOLD
Will the UK enter a technical recession in 2026?
2
Ṁ1kṀ125
Dec 31
44%
chance

Resolves YES if the UK is confirmed to experience two consecutive quarters of GDP contraction, with the first of those quarters starting in 2026. This market will resolve based on the January 2027 edition of the GDP Monthly Estimate, UK data published by the Office for National Statistics.

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