Recession in Australia in 2026?
3
Ṁ1kṀ275Dec 31
38%
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Resolves YES iff the ABS reports negative real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted, chain volume, q/q, catalogue 5206.0) for two consecutive quarters in 2026 (Q1+Q2 or Q2+Q3 or Q3+Q4).
Only the value for each quarter at its initial release counts for this market. Subsequent revisions do not. Exactly 0.0% is not negative.
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