Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on the features and capabilities officially announced and implemented in OpenAI's GPT-5 model. Each answer option will be evaluated individually:

• Yes: If the feature is confirmed and present in GPT-5.

• No: If the feature is confirmed to be absent in GPT-5.

• N/A: If there is insufficient information to determine the presence or absence of the feature.

The resolution will be based on official OpenAI communications, such as blog posts, press releases, and documentation. The market will close on December 31, 2027, or earlier if all features have been confirmed or denied before this date.

Background

GPT-5 is anticipated to be the next major iteration in OpenAI's Generative Pre-trained Transformer series. While specific details are yet to be officially confirmed, several features have been widely speculated and discussed in the AI community:

• Unified AI Architecture: Integration of various AI capabilities into a cohesive system, allowing dynamic determination of optimal approaches for diverse tasks. (medium.com)

• Advanced Reasoning Capabilities: Enhanced ability to perform complex, multi-step reasoning tasks, potentially achieving high accuracy in STEM fields. (medium.com)

• Expanded Multimodal Capabilities: Processing and generating text, images, audio, and video within a single framework, building upon previous multimodal functionalities. (medium.com)

• Larger Context Window: Ability to process significantly larger amounts of information in a single interaction, improving coherence over extended conversations or documents. (medium.com)

• Personalization and Autonomous Agents: Adaptation to individual user preferences and execution of multi-step tasks with minimal oversight. (medium.com)

• Tiered Access Model: Offering different levels of access and capabilities, potentially including free and paid tiers with varying features. (medium.com)

Considerations

• Speculative Nature: Many of the anticipated features are based on industry speculation and have not been officially confirmed by OpenAI. Traders should consider the speculative nature of these features when making predictions.

• Evolving Information: As GPT-5's development progresses, new information may emerge that could confirm or refute the presence of specific features. Staying updated with official OpenAI announcements is crucial.

• Complexity of Features: Some features may be partially implemented or have varying degrees of functionality. The resolution will consider the extent to which a feature is present in GPT-5.

• Market Dynamics: The AI field is rapidly evolving, and competitive developments may influence the features included in GPT-5. External factors, such as technological advancements and market demands, could impact the final feature set.

Traders are encouraged to monitor official OpenAI channels and reputable AI news sources for the most accurate and up-to-date information regarding GPT-5's features and capabilities.

• Update 2025-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated that this market was set up incorrectly (referring to it as having been made multiple choice in error). They have indicated an intention to restart the market. This may lead to the current market instance being resolved to N/A (cancelled) or its structure being fundamentally changed before any feature-based resolution occurs.