
When will GPT 5 be released? (exact month)
50
1.8kṀ22k2026
0.4%
November 2024
0.4%
December 2024
0.5%
January 2025
0.6%
February 2025
0.8%
March 2025
0.8%
April 2025
0.7%
May 2025
4%
June 2025
46%
July 2025
26%
August 2025
6%
September 2025
5%
October 2025
3%
November 2025
1.8%
December 2025
0.9%
January 2026
1.1%
February 2026
1%
March 2026
1%
Later than March 2026
ONLY ONE MONTH resolve yes
Regarding naming issues, same resolution criteria as: https://manifold.markets/VictorLJZ/will-gpt5-be-released-before-2025
"If the next OpenAI flagship model deviates from the GPT-N naming scheme and there will clearly be no future model named GPT-5 that is going to be released from OpenAI (e.g. they completely changed the trajectory of their naming scheme) then I will count it as "GPT-5" regardless.
However, if the next flagship model is not called GPT-5 but still conforms to the OpenAI GPT-N naming scheme (e.g. GPT-4.5) or it is implied that there will eventually be a model called GPT-5 that will be released (i.e. they are going to continue with the same naming scheme) then I will not count it as "GPT-5"."
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