When will GPT 5 be released? (exact month)
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Plus
13
Ṁ2573
2026
1%
November 2024
5%
December 2024
6%
January 2025
6%
February 2025
6%
March 2025
6%
April 2025
6%
May 2025
5%
June 2025
5%
July 2025
5%
August 2025
5%
September 2025
5%
October 2025
6%
November 2025
9%
December 2025
5%
January 2026
5%
February 2026
5%
March 2026
6%
Later than March 2026

ONLY ONE MONTH resolve yes

Regarding naming issues, same resolution criteria as: https://manifold.markets/VictorLJZ/will-gpt5-be-released-before-2025

"If the next OpenAI flagship model deviates from the GPT-N naming scheme and there will clearly be no future model named GPT-5 that is going to be released from OpenAI (e.g. they completely changed the trajectory of their naming scheme) then I will count it as "GPT-5" regardless.

However, if the next flagship model is not called GPT-5 but still conforms to the OpenAI GPT-N naming scheme (e.g. GPT-4.5) or it is implied that there will eventually be a model called GPT-5 that will be released (i.e. they are going to continue with the same naming scheme) then I will not count it as "GPT-5"."

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How does this resolve if the next openai model is called GPT-Orion or something else entirely?

@ProjectVictory we'll follow the same resolution criteria as this market https://manifold.markets/VictorLJZ/will-gpt5-be-released-before-2025 (description updated) Thanks!

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