๐บ๐ธ What will Biden's margin of victory be in the US 2024 Presidential Election?
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แน1346Nov 16
-9
expected
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This market resolves to Biden's share of the 2024 US Presidential Election popular vote, minus the vote share of the candidate who wins (if not Biden) or is in second if Biden wins.
If the total is higher or lower than 10/-10, just resolves to that.
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Hmm? Seems like it resolves to -10 to me.
Biden's vote share is approximately 0%
The winner's vote share is roughly 50%
"Biden's share of the 2024 US Presidential Election popular vote, minus the vote share of the candidate who wins" is accordingly around -50.
"If the total is higher or lower than 10/-10, just resolves to that."
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