
What will the popular vote margin be in 2024?
61
1kṀ16kresolved Dec 5
100%98.7%
Republican, 0-2%
0.1%
Republican, 2%+
0.9%
Democrat, 0-2%
0.2%
Democrat, 2% - 4%
0.1%
Democrat, 4% - 6%
0.0%
Democrat, 6%+
0.0%
Other
Resolves to the amount by which the popular vote winner of the 2024 POTUS election wins by, and the party they are from. Doesn't matter if the popular vote winner wins the Electoral College or not.
"Other" means that an independent or third party candidate wins the popular vote. If the margin is somehow exactly on the boundary of two of these intervals, I'll resolve each to 50%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ553 | |
2 | Ṁ344 | |
3 | Ṁ333 | |
4 | Ṁ320 | |
5 | Ṁ234 |