What will the Democratic Nominee's exact vote share be in the 2024 Presidential Election nationwide?
Basic
16
Ṁ5261Nov 17
3%
0.0 - 39.9%
0.3%
40.0 - 44.9%
0.3%
45.0 - 45.9%
2%
46.0 - 46.9%
7%
47.0 - 47.9%
10%
48.0 - 48.9%
14%
49.0 - 49.9%
16%
50.0 - 50.9%
15%
51.0 - 51.9%
13%
52.0 - 52.9%
11%
53.0 - 53.9%
6%
54.0 - 54.9%
3%
55.0 - 59.9%
0.3%
60.0 - 100.0%
Resolves based on the finalized total popular vote count in the 2024 presidential election. In 2020 this was 51.3% for Biden, in 2016 it was 48.2% for Clinton, in 2012 it was 51.1% for Obama, in 2008 it was 52.9% for Obama.
Any Democratic party nominee will be used instead of Biden if he is not the nominee, I'm just presuming he's the nominee.
You can keep an eye on the current raw polling average here. As of market creation, it's very close.
You can find more questions like this in the 2024 Vote Share Dashboard.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
What will be the exact electoral college outcome in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
What will Biden's share of the popular vote be in the 2024 election?
What will the Dem Nominee's exact vote share be in the 2024 Presidential Election in Pennsylvania?
How large will the popular vote margin be in the 2024 presidential election?
What will the Dem Nom's exact vote share be in the 2024 Presidential Election in Wisconsin?
What will the popular vote margin be in 2024?
What will the Dem Nom's exact vote share be in the 2024 Presidential Election in Georgia?
What will voter turnout be in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
What percentage of the vote will Joe Biden and Donald Trump get cumulatively in the 2024 presidential election?
Open answer: How many electoral votes will the Democratic presidential candidate win in 2024?