What will Biden's share of the popular vote be in the 2024 election?
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2024 US Presidential Election๏ธ Politics๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US PoliticsJoe Biden
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87%
>= .0001%
35%
>= .001%
19%
>= .01%
8%
>= .1%
3%
>= 1%

As far as I'm aware, he won't be on any ballots, and this market will primarily be about write-in votes.

I expect resolution will be somewhat delayed while we await certified counts and detailed reporting.

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@EvanDaniel For comparison, this is a level exceeded in the 2020 election by Mitt Romney, Tulsi Gabbard, Bernie Sanders, and many others, some purely on write-in votes. Mike Pence and Andrew Yang did not meet the .0001% level. No candidate achieved .001% purely on write-in votes.

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