What will be the popular vote margin between the top two candidates in the 2024 US presidential election?
28
1.5kṀ8821resolved Dec 6
100%96%
Between 2,000,000 and 5,000,000
0.3%
<1,000,000
3%
Between 1,000,000 and 2,000,000
1.1%
Between 5,000,000 and 10,000,000
0.1%
>10,000,000
Update (11/7): extending market close. Current tally of popular vote difference is 4.65 million. Note (12/20/23): Results of this market have been interesting to me so far. I’m encouraging traders, if they are so inclined, to leave comments about the their thinking process.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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