Across, 2025 will a majority of EA funding rounds have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met?

Will the EA Forum or LessWrong start using EigenKarma by 2025 (public experiments included)?

Will EA sentiment surrounding SBF trend positive by 2040?

The EA community will have a major split/conflict between progressive and rationalist EAs before 2030.

How much will AI advances impact EA research effectiveness, by 2030?

Will betting in or subsidizing specific prediction markets be an EA cause area by 2030?

Will EA renounce utilitarianism as a guiding principle by the end of 2030?

Will members of the EA community create an EA-focused university by 2030?

Will there be an EA organisation that donates >$10M/yr using a democratized mechanism before 2025?

Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.