Will the EA forum support users estimating values in posts and then supplying some kind of median, by 2030? | Manifold

Will the EA forum support users estimating values in posts and then supplying some kind of median, by 2030?

Ancient Markets•Effective Altruism

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Hm, this is not a bad idea

predicts YES

What would good and bad outcomes look like here?

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Ancient Markets questions

Will the real median Austin TX house price decline by 30% in the next two years?

If I buy a Pacaso home, will I eventually come to regret it within 2 years of purchase?

Effective Altruism questions

In 2068, will animal farming will be less than 10% of its size as of 2023?

What will the effect size of the Ozler RCT on StrongMinds’ intervention be?

Related questions

Will EA sentiment surrounding SBF trend positive by 2040?

Will interventions motivated by aliens, simulation arguments, acausal trade, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will betting in or subsidizing specific prediction markets be an EA cause area by 2030?

Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?

The EA community will have a major split/conflict between progressive and rationalist EAs before 2030.

Will human intelligence augmentation / embryo selection get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will >60% of EAs believe that "Pause AI" protests have been net positive in 2030?

Will >10 people committed to EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become billionaires (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?

Will there be any new EA billionaires by 2027?

Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?