Will betting in or subsidizing specific prediction markets be an EA cause area by 2030? | Manifold

Will betting in or subsidizing specific prediction markets be an EA cause area by 2030?

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2030

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Funding prediction market platforms such as Manifold does not count. I'm referring to putting money into specific markets, like "provide large subsidies for markets on charity impact to increase the accuracy of their results", or "bet YES on AI doomsday markets to convince people it's a risk worth taking seriously". I will also include a grant from an EA-aligned organization to try it out and see whether this is a good use of money.

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Across, 2025 will a majority of EA funding rounds have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met?

Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

Will any real money prediction market let you bet using indices rather than fiat/crypto by 2025?

Will anyone in the US be prosecuted for betting in an illegal prediction market before 2026?

Will prediction markets become popular and used by 80% of the countries of the world by 2027?

There will be a new business vertical that uses prediction markets as a core feature by 2030

Will someone be charged for using a real-money prediction market in Singapore by 2033 Jan?

Will Manifold Markets add betting with USD by 2035?

Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to run a market on AI extinction risk? [M$50,000 reward]

Related questions

Across, 2025 will a majority of EA funding rounds have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met?

Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

Will any real money prediction market let you bet using indices rather than fiat/crypto by 2025?

Will anyone in the US be prosecuted for betting in an illegal prediction market before 2026?

Will prediction markets become popular and used by 80% of the countries of the world by 2027?

There will be a new business vertical that uses prediction markets as a core feature by 2030

Will someone be charged for using a real-money prediction market in Singapore by 2033 Jan?

Will Manifold Markets add betting with USD by 2035?

Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to run a market on AI extinction risk? [M$50,000 reward]

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