When will rocket lab first attempt to re-fly an Electron booster? #Recovery-and-reuse

Question

Resolves YES if an Electron rocket launches with a booster that Rocket Lab states has flown before (regardless of amount of refurbishment required)

Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad under its own thrust

The launch is not required to be successful

Answers resolve NO as the dates are reached, and all remaining answers resolve YES once a launch that meets the criteria occurs; more answers may be added based on trading

UTC is used for dates

Please ask if you want anything clarified

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@/Nat/will-rocket-lab-have-successfully-r

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Before December 2027 and Before December 2026 are most likely. See the market for live updates (8 traders, as of Aug 29, 2026).