Will SpaceX launch IFT-3 by October AND successfully demonstrate in-orbit propellant transfer?
Basic
7
Ṁ4080
resolved Mar 14
Resolved
NO

Resolves Yes if IFT-3 launches by October and successfully demonstrates propellant transfer.

  • Defining reaching orbit as a stable orbit and completing at least one revolution around Earth

  • Defining successful propellant transfer based on how SpaceX/NASA report

Elon Musk stated IFT-3 goals here:

https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxSnl8J96XUzY43RZ8WxTcJVBoEknjqji9?si=yQUOdCUXq3XoK622

Therefore the resolution options are:

  • Will resolve Yes if they reach true orbit and demonstrate propellant transfer

  • Will resolve No if they reach true orbit and fail to demonstrate propellant transfer

  • Will resolve No if they fail to reach true orbit and succeed in demonstrating propellant transfer

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