Will Trump "buy" Greenland multi-market? 🤝💚🧊

22kṀ57k

2026

32%

Credible poll in USA with 1,000+ citizens in favor of "buying" Greenland in 2025?

30%

Trump makes an "offer" to Denmark for Greenland in 2025? With specific terms.

25%

Significant protests in Greenland (more than just a few people) in regard to US acquisition -- either for or against. In 2025.

12%

Trump visits Denmark in 2025?

10%

Official negotiations in 2025 to "buy" Greenland?

Will Polymarket odds reach 25% that Trump buys Greenland in 2025?

Trump visits Greenland in 2025?

Will Polymarket odds reach 50% that Trump buys Greenland in 2025?

Will Polymarket odds reach 69% that Trump buys Greenland in 2025?

Any former president (besides Trump) quoted in favor of acquiring Greenland (in 2025)

Nate Silver launches "Greenland" model in 2025?

Agreement reached in 2025 to "buy" Greenland?

Credible poll from Greenland with 1,000+ citizens in favor of joining US? [over 1,000 polled, majority supports] in 2025

We keep reading reports that they are "serious" about this, and that at least some in Greenland support it.

https://deepnewz.com/search?q=Greenland

Resolution will be

from preponderance of evidence in media or official sources
closely following Polymarket rules when it's appropriate

Let's have fun and make some Greenland predictions!

As usual

I will be betting this market
If you want to argue about nonsense just don't bet this market, please
If you are uncomfortable with not 100% clear resolution for every question, also don't bet this market

Update 2025-13-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Credible poll must include over 1,000 Greenland citizens.
- Majority supports joining the US.

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1,000

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Conditional on Trump buying Greenland, how much will the US pay?

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8% chance

Will Trump step foot in Greenland before the USA controls a part of it?

44% chance

Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?

7% chance

If the US buys Greenland and makes it a state, will it vote for a Democrat in the subsequent presidential election?

77% chance

Will Trump Win 2024 Election AND [Major Market] Resolve YES?

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2% chance

If acquired, will Greenland’s GDP be >0.05% of US GDP?

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interesting page

https://gwern.net/greenland

https://www.reuters.com/world/poll-85-greenlanders-do-not-want-be-part-us-2025-01-28/

@Moscow25 fun market! The use of quotation marks for words like "buy" is merely a way to visually emphasize the word, right?

@Moscow25 Bump. Are you using "buy" figuratively or just to "emphasize" keywords?

@GazDownright yes figuratively

bought Ṁ500 NO

What is the Nate Silver Greenland model?

@MaybeNotDepends the question is will he make a model about Greenland? Or at least write about it [if he writes but doesn't make a model, it's a NO]

@Moscow25 how are we defining credible?

@stationtostation don't bet this market

bought Ṁ50 NO

@Moscow25 Would it even be realistic to get 1000 people to answer a poll?

@Ibozz91 I don't know. I saw a tweet about a poll with 400 Greenlanders earlier. But it was just a tweet. That's why I'm saying needs to be 1000 people polled.