We keep reading reports that they are "serious" about this, and that at least some in Greenland support it.
https://deepnewz.com/search?q=Greenland
Resolution will be
from preponderance of evidence in media or official sources
closely following Polymarket rules when it's appropriate
Let's have fun and make some Greenland predictions!
As usual
I will be betting this market
If you want to argue about nonsense just don't bet this market, please
If you are uncomfortable with not 100% clear resolution for every question, also don't bet this market
Update 2025-13-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Credible poll must include over 1,000 Greenland citizens.
Majority supports joining the US.
1,000π Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | αΉ9,268 | |
| 2 | αΉ3,011 | |
| 3 | αΉ1,132 | |
| 4 | αΉ774 | |
| 5 | αΉ627 |
People are also trading
@ItsMe I'm not sure about the other resolutions but this one was easy enough to verify. Let me know if you have other's you think are obvious (please provide sources so that it's quicker/easier)
@DanzoAlerantos I sold because I realized the question's wording is weird and the author may have intended that the majority response of the poll was in favor, and that the poll has at least 1000 respondents. It would be a strange wording, but it would match the other option: "Credible poll from Greenland with 1,000+ citizens in favor of joining US? [over 1,000 polled, majority supports] in 2025".
@Moscow25 I believe this can resolve YES, based on the protests in March.
https://www.dw.com/en/greenland-hundreds-protest-against-trumps-takeover-plans/a-71933403
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/greenlanders-respond-to-trump-it-will-never-be-for-sale/
About 1,000 Greenlanders gathered in the city of Nuuk, to march to the U.S. consulate building in protest of President Donald Trump's recent remarks about acquiring Greenland, March 15, 2025.
Hundreds of Greenlanders took to the streets on Saturday to protest against US President Donald Trump's stated goal of taking control of their island.
Here are the resolution criteria:
Significant protests in Greenland (more than just a few people) in regard to US acquisition -- either for or against. In 2025.
These are clearly "protests" (news sources broadly describe them as such", and they are clearly about the potential US acquisition of Greenland. The only question is whether they are "significant". However, there isn't much ambiguityβthe crteria specify "more than just a few people", and ~1000 is clearly vastly more than a few people. Even if we didn't have that guidance, I think it would clearly be "significant". Greenland is not very populousβNuuk only has ~20k people, so ~1000 protesters is a quite substantial protest for that population (while not exactly comparable, that same ratio for the LA metro area population would be like ~900k people).
@Moscow25 fun market! The use of quotation marks for words like "buy" is merely a way to visually emphasize the word, right?
@MaybeNotDepends the question is will he make a model about Greenland? Or at least write about it [if he writes but doesn't make a model, it's a NO]
@Ibozz91 I don't know. I saw a tweet about a poll with 400 Greenlanders earlier. But it was just a tweet. That's why I'm saying needs to be 1000 people polled.
Polymarket odds sit at 13%
https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-in-2025
