Conditional on Trump buying Greenland, how much will the US pay?
7
1kαΉ€2481
2029
3%
< $1000
4%
$1000-$1 billion
8%
$1-5 billion
8%
$5-10 billion
13%
$10-50 billion
20%
$50-100 billion
21%
$100-500 billion
11%
$500 billion - $1 trillion
11%
> $1 trillion

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the price range that encompasses the final purchase price IF the United States successfully purchases Greenland during Trump's presidency. The price must be officially announced and confirmed by both governments.

Prices denominated in USD.

Purchase prices on the limit of two price bands count toward the lower band.
(For example, a price of $50 billion would count towards the $10-50 billion option.)

The market will resolve N/A if:

  • No purchase occurs before January 2029

  • The purchase is structured in a way that makes the total price unclear (e.g., complex trade agreements or resource-sharing arrangements)

  • The deal includes significant non-monetary components that substantially affect the true value

  • Greenland is taken by force

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