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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of tin on December 31, 2026?
0
Ṁ100
Dec 31
89%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering tin ores, tin oxides, unwrought tin, tin alloys, tin scrap, or listed tin articles under the 2026 ordinary catalog. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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