Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will China's Notice 61 export controls cover lanthanum products on December 31, 2027?
0
Ṁ100
2027
45%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2027 (23:59 China Standard Time), China's MOFCOM Notice 61 export licensing framework with the extraterritorial 0.1% de minimis rule is in active enforcement for lanthanum-containing products (Category 1 licenses required at component level). Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!