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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of niobium on December 31, 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ35
Dec 31
41%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering ordinary niobium metal, niobium alloys, or niobium oxide sold as primary material. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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