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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of vanadium pentoxide or ferrovanadium on December 31, 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ35
Dec 31
77%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China maintains an active export licensing requirement, quota, or ban on vanadium pentoxide or ferrovanadium. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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