Will China restrict exports of silicon metal on December 31, 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ82Dec 31
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has active export controls (licensing requirements, quotas, or bans) on silicon metal (MG-Si, HS 2804.69). Resolves NO otherwise.
Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026?
15% chance
Will China restrict exports of selenium on December 31, 2026?
38% chance
Will China restrict exports of silver on December 31, 2026?
90% chance
Will China restrict exports of tungsten on December 31, 2026?
88% chance
Will China restrict exports of electrolytic manganese on December 31, 2026?
42% chance
Will China restrict exports of high-strength titanium alloy on December 31, 2026?
87% chance
Will China restrict exports of chromium or ferrochrome on December 31, 2026?
42% chance
Will China restrict exports of beryllium on December 31, 2026?
88% chance
Will China restrict exports of hafnium on December 31, 2026?
88% chance
Will China restrict exports of tin on December 31, 2026?
89% chance