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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of chromium or ferrochrome on December 31, 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ25
Dec 31
42%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering ordinary chromium metal or ferrochromium, excluding controlled finished alloys that merely contain chromium. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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