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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of germanium on December 31, 2027?
0
Ṁ100
2027
74%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2027 (23:59 China Standard Time), China maintains an active export restriction (prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement under UNCTAD MAST P3 classification) on germanium and germanium compounds (HS 811292; oxides HS 282560). Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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