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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of gadolinium on December 31, 2027?
0
Ṁ100
2027
67%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2027 (23:59 China Standard Time), China MOFCOM export licensing requirements on gadolinium compounds are actively enforced. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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