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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of rhenium on December 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ3
Dec 31
80%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has imposed formal export controls on rhenium metal or compounds. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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