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Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2027?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ5
2027
38%
chance

This market resolves YES if China has active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si, HS 2804.69) on December 31, 2027.

YES if: Active MOFCOM licensing, quota, or ban on MG-Si in effect on Dec 31, 2027 NO if: MG-Si exports proceed under normal MFN conditions

Resolution sources (priority order):

  1. China MOFCOM export control registry

  2. US Department of Commerce / BIS China trade policy updates

  3. Reuters, Bloomberg, FT China trade reporting

Market context
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