Will China restrict exports of gallium on December 31, 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ70Dec 31
88%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China maintains an active export restriction (prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement under UNCTAD MAST P3 classification) on gallium and gallium compounds (HS 811292). Resolves NO otherwise.
Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will China restrict exports of arsenic trichloride or gallium arsenide on December 31, 2026?
88% chance
Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?
31% chance
Will China restrict exports of indium on December 31, 2026?
87% chance
Will China restrict exports of cerium on December 31, 2026?
86% chance
Will China restrict exports of samarium on December 31, 2026?
87% chance
Will China restrict exports of beryllium on December 31, 2026?
88% chance
Will China restrict exports of ytterbium on December 31, 2026?
49% chance
Will China restrict exports of erbium on December 31, 2026?
60% chance
Will China restrict exports of antimony on December 31, 2026?
89% chance
Will China restrict exports of cadmium telluride on December 31, 2026?
87% chance