Will China restrict exports of gallium on December 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ1Dec 31
79%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China maintains an active export restriction (prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement under UNCTAD MAST P3 classification) on gallium and gallium compounds (HS 811292). Resolves NO otherwise.
Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will China restrict exports of germanium on December 31, 2027?
74% chance
Will China have extended its europium export-control pause beyond November 10, 2026, as of December 31, 2026?
43% chance
Will China restrict exports of dysprosium or terbium on December 31, 2026?
69% chance
Will China restrict exports of selenium on December 31, 2026?
38% chance
Will China restrict exports of electrolytic manganese on December 31, 2026?
27% chance
Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?
37% chance
Will China restrict exports of gadolinium on December 31, 2027?
67% chance
Will China restrict exports of silicon metal on December 31, 2026?
26% chance
Will China restrict exports of scandium on December 31, 2026?
79% chance
Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026?
48% chance