Will Gordon Mar be re-elected to the San Francisco Board of Supervisors District 4 seat (vs Joel Engardio)?
10
17
240
resolved Nov 17
Resolved
NO

This question resolves to YES if any of the following events occur before December 31, 2022 11:59 PM, US Pacific time ("the deadline"):

  1. The San Francisco Department of Elections releases its final election report, and the vote totals indicate that Gordon Mar is the winner of the District 4 Supervisor race.

  2. San Francisco Chronicle and the San Francisco Examiner both publish an article declaring that Gordon Mar is the winner of the District 4 Supervisor race, based on votes or projects.

This question resolves to NO if any of the following events occur:

  1. Any of the following occur before the deadline:

    1. The Department of Elections releases its final election report, and the vote totals indicate that a person other than Gordon Mar is the winner of the District 4 Supervisor race.

    2. San Francisco Chronicle and the San Francisco Examiner both publish an article declaring that a person other than Gordon Maris the winner of the District 4 Supervisor race, based on votes or projections.

  2. None of YES or above NO conditions are triggered before the deadline.

In the event of death, incapacitation, or suspension of campaign, Gordon Mar's name is still be on the ballot and could still be declared winner.

The other candidate in this race is Joel Engardio.

This market is expected to resolve between the dates of Tuesday, November 8, 2022 9 PM; and Friday, November 18, 2022 5 PM.

Sep 21, 1:17am: reword to make more clear

Close date updated to 2022-11-18 11:59 pm

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predicted NO

Chronicle has called the race for Engardio. Waiting for the Examiner.

predicted NO

I have extended the market open period to 2022-11-18. I believe that this race will be called in the next two days.

Engardio is currently leading with 51.76% of the vote
https://sfelections.sfgov.org/november-8-2022-election-results-summary