DPP wins 2024 Taiwanese election? (Yes) → Chinese Annexation of Half of Taiwan by 2050
1
70Ṁ12050
49%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will the DPP have a majority in the Legislative Yuan on January 1st 2026?
12% chance
Will Taiwan be Taiwan in 2025?
98% chance
Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
29% chance
Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
20% chance
Will the DPP gain, hold or lose seats in the 2026 City Mayor and County Magistrate elections in Taiwan?
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the DPP run on a platform to maintain the status quo in Cross-Strait Relations?
75% chance
Will China go to war with Taiwan before the DPP loses the Taiwanese presidency
39% chance
Will Taiwan invade the PRC by 2050?
7% chance
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
53% chance